Assessment of the Effect of the Rate of Internal Displaced Persons on Food Price Variations Time Series from Year 2009 to 2020 in Badakhshan, Afghanistan.

01 February 2022, Version 1
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed by Cambridge University Press at the time of posting.

Abstract

Internally displacement of persons is a major factor leading to food insecurity in several countries. Displacement is caused by conflict or environmental disaster. Displacement leads to less production of agricultural produce resulting to food prices increases. Secondary data was analyzed using R-Programming, Variables such as Year (2009 to 2020), Food Price Index from 2009 to 2020, Conflict stock displacement from 2009 to 2020 and Environmental Disaster Displacement from 2009 to 2020 were extracted from the dataset for analysis. Their trends were observed using time series. Regression results revealed that food price was increasing significantly with respect to time with a p-value of 2.2e-16 <0.05. Also, the internally displaced persons caused by conflict has a significant impact on the increasing food price with a p-value of 7.137e-08 <0.05, but the internally displaced persons caused by environmental disaster has no significant impact on the increasing food price.

Keywords

Food Price Index
Internal Displaced Persons
Environmental Disaster
Conflict

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